The year began with high hopes for the transition from fossil fuel-burning vehicles to battery-powered ones. Nine months later, the electric vehicle market is in a much different position. "The expectation going into this year was that this might be the year EVs really hit that next evolutionary level. And it hasn't happened," Kevin Roberts, director of industry insights and analytics at CarGurus, told Tech Brew. "This year, sales are still up. They're just not up as much as had been anticipated, and that's where the narrative around EVs has shifted." Instead of being the year EVs went mainstream, 2024 is shaping up to be the year of the EV retreat. Hype meets reality: A record 1.2 million EVs were sold in the US last year, and battery-powered vehicles captured 7.6% of the new-vehicle market, per Kelley Blue Book (KBB). Back in January, Tech Brew reported that EV sales were expected to grow this year, but at a slower pace than in 2023. But the tempo has turned out to be much slower than expected. CarGurus previously estimated that EV sales would grow 42% in 2024. But when we checked back in with Roberts this month, he told us his team is now forecasting 11% YoY growth. Indeed, US EV sales rose 11.3% YoY in Q2, according to KBB. And in Q2, Tesla's US market share fell below 50% for the first time. So, what's changed? Keep reading here.—JG |
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