While generative AI will drive up spending on enterprise software worldwide, most of that revenue will be captured as a de facto "tax" on developers, according to Gartner distinguished VP analyst John-David Lovelock. Gartner recently forecast that IT spending will rise 7.5% globally in 2024 year over year, reaching around $5.26 trillion. While it projected the data center systems segment will grow by over 24% this year alone in large part due to demand for generative AI processing power, software wasn't far behind. That category, which includes AI inferencing, is projected to grow 12.6% to over $1 trillion. In an interview with IT Brew, Lovelock explained why software developers don't necessarily stand to reap benefits from that surge in software spending. This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity. What do you mean by generative AI being a "tax"? So if we take a fictional company as an example—say, TomSoft. And you play in the enterprise resource planning, supply chain management, customer relationship management space. You have until the end of 2025 to embed GenAI into your product… Unless TomSoft was smart enough to already have been developing a GenAI model, you have no opportunity to develop one by that deadline. Most companies missed that window. Keep reading here.—TM |
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